Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Toronto.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
39.92% ( 0.03) | 25.34% ( 0.03) | 34.75% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.31% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.58% ( -0.15) | 47.42% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.37% ( -0.14) | 69.63% ( 0.14) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.47% ( -0.05) | 23.53% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.43% ( -0.07) | 57.57% ( 0.07) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.64% ( -0.11) | 26.36% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% ( -0.15) | 61.51% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.92% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |