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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
First Tennessee Park
New York City

Nashville
2 - 0
NY City

Zimmerman (34'), Shaffelburg (80')
Shaffelburg (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cufre (28'), Magno (62'), Andrade (75'), Chanot (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-1 NY City
Monday, October 31 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-0 New York City FC

With so many new faces in the NYCFC lineup, we suspect it will take some time for them to gel together as a unit, particularly on the backline. Containing the Nashville attack might be a little more challenging this weekend, seeing as Picault is a capable secondary scorer who can compliment Mukhtar, so we expect that quality will overpower the newcomers at New York City.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew York City FC
40.12% (0.10599999999999 0.11) 25.6% (-0.026 -0.03) 34.28% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (0.103 0.1)48.66% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (0.091999999999999 0.09)70.77% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.10000000000001 0.1)23.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (0.143 0.14)58.21% (-0.146 -0.15)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76%27.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)62.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 40.12%
    New York City FC 34.28%
    Draw 25.59%
Nashville SCDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 9.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 34.28%

How you voted: Nashville vs NY City

Nashville SC
72.0%
Draw
16.0%
New York City FC
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Nashville
3-1
NY City
Williams (30', 68'), Latinovich (32' og.)
Muyl (71'), Williams (73'), Haakenson (89')
McCarty (45')
Castellanos (90')
Medina (38'), Castellanos (64'), Acevedo (73')
Moralez (45')
Apr 26, 2020 10pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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