Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Dallas | 29 | 7 | 43 |
4 | Nashville SC | 28 | 5 | 39 |
5 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | -1 | 39 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 0 | 33 |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | -6 | 32 |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | -12 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
56.5% ( 0.01) | 23% ( 0.01) | 20.5% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.94% ( -0.05) | 47.06% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.7% ( -0.04) | 69.3% ( 0.05) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% ( -0.01) | 16.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.86% ( -0.02) | 46.14% ( 0.02) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.85% ( -0.04) | 37.15% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.06% ( -0.04) | 73.94% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |