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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 at 1am UK
New Fort Lauderdale Stadium
Toronto FC

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Toronto

Mota (24'), Lassiter (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Insigne (28')
Bernardeschi (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 3-2 NY City
Sunday, August 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 New England
Thursday, August 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 Toronto

The significant big game experience of Insigne, Bernardeschi and Criscito has been invaluable to this Toronto team, and we expect the Reds to play with a greater sense of urgency in this one, knowing that they have virtually no room for error at this stage of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
43.15% (-0.127 -0.13) 24.78% (-0.044 -0.04) 32.07% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 57.44% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (0.25700000000001 0.26)45.6% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (0.245 0.25)67.92% (-0.252 -0.25)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)21.18% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.94% (0.079999999999998 0.08)54.06% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.88% (0.23100000000001 0.23)27.12% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.49% (0.303 0.3)62.5% (-0.309 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 43.15%
    Toronto 32.07%
    Draw 24.77%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.07%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Toronto

Inter Miami
45.8%
Draw
8.3%
Toronto
45.8%
24
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-1
Inter Miami

Mavinga (31'), Laryea (61'), Delgado (67')
Lawrence (37')
Makoun (90+5' pen.)
Gregore (53'), Robinson (68'), Gonzalez Pirez (72')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
Inter Miami
3-1
Toronto
Pizarro (15', 48'), Robinson (35')
Figal (27'), Robinson (51'), Gregore (61')
Gibbs (62' og.)
Bradley (65')
Nov 2, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Inter Miami
Akinola (55'), Pozuelo (84' pen.)
Bradley (77')
Matuidi (42')
Matuidi (69'), Sweat (82')
May 31, 2020 11pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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