Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 at 1.15am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
We said: Inter Miami 2-1 New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami may be propping up the Eastern Conference, but with four wins from their last five competitive home games, they will be hoping to make home advantage count on Wednesday.
The visitors, meanwhile, are searching for their first away win in MLS since beating Montreal in September, and we think that their struggles on the road could play into the hands of Inter Miami.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.
Result |
Inter Miami | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
35.15% ( -0.13) | 26.81% ( 0.03) | 38.03% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.1) |
46.33% ( -0.12) | 53.66% ( 0.12) |
24.84% ( -0.1) | 75.16% ( 0.1) |
70.87% ( -0.14) | 29.12% ( 0.13) |