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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Orlando City

Inter Miami
1 - 3
Orlando City

Campana (57')
Campana (16'), Cremaschi (75'), Fray (89'), McVey (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kara (19'), Ojeda (68'), Santos (86')
Carlos (23'), Cartagena (36'), Angulo (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Orlando City

Just one point separates Inter Miami and Orlando in the MLS table, indicating they are very evenly-matches sides, but we expect the hosts to emerge with a narrow victory. The Herons have won their last three games at the DRV PNK Stadium, the most recent of which coming against a very strong New England Revolution side, so they should have enough about them to take all three points on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. Orlando City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
45.24% (1.467 1.47) 25.13% (-0.199 -0.2) 29.63% (-1.264 -1.26)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79% (0.282 0.28)48.22% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (0.258 0.26)70.37% (-0.252 -0.25)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.79000000000001 0.79)21.33% (-0.785 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (1.204 1.2)54.29% (-1.198 -1.2)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.72900000000001 -0.73)30.06% (0.734 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-0.888 -0.89)66.19% (0.89400000000001 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 45.24%
    Orlando City 29.63%
    Draw 25.12%
Inter MiamiDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.228 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.63%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-1
Orlando City
Campana (1'), Higuain (38', 52' pen.), Lassiter (56')
Kara (71')
Carlos (59')
Jul 10, 2022 3.24am
Orlando City
1-0
Inter Miami
Lowe (90+2' og.)
Smith (45+3')

Duke (52')
Aug 28, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 27
Orlando City
0-0
Inter Miami

Jansson (51')

Pizarro (63'), Makoun (85')
Aug 5, 2021 1am
gameweek 22
Orlando City
1-1
Inter Miami
Carlos (45+1')
Urso (56'), Rosell (85')
Gibbs (66')
Pizarro (68')
Jun 26, 2021 1am
gameweek 13
Inter Miami
1-2
Orlando City
Higuain (67')
Ulloa (62'), Matuidi (71'), Gonzalez Pirez (79')
Mueller (73'), Nani (80')
Pereyra (10'), Urso (62'), Mueller (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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