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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 at 1.32am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
New York City

Inter Miami
1 - 1
NY City

Aviles (90+5')
Cremaschi (33'), Aviles (40'), Farias (62'), Krivtsov (69'), Arroyo (70'), Allen (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (77')
Ledezma (52'), Jasson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 New York City FC

Tata Martino has proven to be a resourceful manager who seems to find an approach that works with the players available, and if Messi and Alba cannot play, there are still plenty of attacking options for a Miami side who have excelled under the Argentine boss. NYCFC have a lot of momentum on their side, but they are playing a team that will have a much greater sense of urgency than Orlando City and Toronto, and we expect the Pigeons to be hindered by a well-organised Miami defensive unit.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
44.01% (-3.576 -3.58) 25.66% (0.727 0.73) 30.33% (2.849 2.85)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.53 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (-1.529 -1.53)50.13% (1.531 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.9% (-1.375 -1.38)72.1% (1.376 1.38)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-2.244 -2.24)22.71% (2.244 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (-3.441 -3.44)56.37% (3.443 3.44)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (1.297 1.3)30.54% (-1.295 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (1.509 1.51)66.77% (-1.509 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 44.01%
    New York City FC 30.33%
    Draw 25.66%
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.578 -0.58)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.496 -0.5)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.57 -0.57)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.313 -0.31)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.324 -0.32)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.01%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.419 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.769 0.77)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.462 0.46)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.611 0.61)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.276 0.28)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.3 0.3)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.33%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs NY City

Inter Miami
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
New York City FC
20.0%
30
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Oct 18, 2022 12am
Jul 24, 2022 12am
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 44
Inter Miami
1-3
NY City
Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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