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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Vancouver Whitecaps

Houston
4 - 1
Vancouver

Herrera (13'), Dorsey (44'), Franco (73'), Ibrahim (84')
Kowalczyk (30'), Sviatchenko (36'), Baird (49'), Dorsey (52'), Micael (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sviatchenko (90' og.)
Raposo (2'), Cubas (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-1 St Louis City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver
Sunday, September 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

That lopsided defeat that Orange Crush suffered versus the Caps earlier this year seems like the perfect motivation for them heading into this encounter, and when you put that together with their solid form and stingy backline at Shell Energy Stadium, it feels as though it might be too much for even a resilient Vancouver side to overcome.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
49.22% (0.061 0.06) 24.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 26.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.055 -0.05)46.01% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.68% (-0.052 -0.05)68.32% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.76% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)50.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)31.16% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)67.49% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 49.22%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 26.59%
    Draw 24.18%
Houston DynamoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 49.22%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 26.59%

How you voted: Houston vs Vancouver

Houston Dynamo
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Vancouver Whitecaps
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2023 3.30am
Vancouver
6-2
Houston
Vite (1'), Gressel (18', 59'), White (46'), Berhalter (88'), Gauld (90+5')
Gressel (41'), Laborda (71'), Cordova (79')
Baird (8'), Bassi (16')
Micael (66'), Carrasquilla (69'), Clark (85')
Quinones (69')
Aug 6, 2022 3.30am
Mar 12, 2022 11.30pm
Sep 30, 2021 2am
Jul 21, 2021 3am
Gameweek 19
Vancouver
0-0
Houston
Rose (24'), Alexandre (83')
Hadebe (42'), Junqua (56'), Picault (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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