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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Vancouver Whitecaps

Toronto
1 - 2
Vancouver

Kerr (50')
Petretta (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Blackmon (56'), White (66')
Berhalter (32'), Vite (60'), Brown (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Vancouver
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-2 Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver are undefeated in five encounters against the Eastern Conference this season, and they look like a well-oiled machine across the board right now, while their key attacking threats remain in fine form. One solid performance is not enough to change the fortunes of Toronto, who have been very inconsistent, while their leaky defence could be under duress against a Vancouver squad that are deadly in transition.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match.

Result
TorontoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
39% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.06% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 35.93% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54% (0.011000000000003 0.01)46% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)68.3% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (0.013999999999996 0.01)23.36% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.66% (0.022999999999996 0.02)57.33% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)25.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)59.67% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 39%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 35.93%
    Draw 25.05%
TorontoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.93%

How you voted: Toronto vs Vancouver

Toronto
0.0%
Draw
20.0%
Vancouver Whitecaps
80.0%
5
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 9pm
Apr 24, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 2
Toronto
2-2
Vancouver
Singh (7'), Osorio (83')
Bradley (64'), Gonzalez (70')
Dajome (55' pen.), Rose (70')
Gutierrez (6')
Sep 6, 2020 2.30am
Gameweek 10
Vancouver
3-2
Toronto
Cavallini (17'), Baldisimo (57'), Nerwinski (77')
Adnan (44'), Cavallini (78'), Baldisimo (82'), Raposo (90+7')
Osorio (25'), Pozuelo (71')
Ciman (76'), Auro (86')
Aug 22, 2020 1am
Gameweek 5
Toronto
1-0
Vancouver
Laryea (15')
Fraser (36'), Piatti (84'), Pozuelo (86')

Rose (55')
Aug 19, 2020 1am
Gameweek 4
Toronto
3-0
Vancouver
Piatti (27', 55'), DeLeon (83')
Auro (81')

Cavallini (18'), Teibert (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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