Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | Orlando City |
60.46% ( 1.6) | 21.32% ( -0.71) | 18.22% ( -0.89) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.93% ( 1.79) | 43.07% ( -1.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.53% ( 1.74) | 65.47% ( -1.74) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.19% ( 1.09) | 13.81% ( -1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.85% ( 2.12) | 41.15% ( -2.11) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.72% ( 0.07) | 37.28% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.93% ( 0.07) | 74.07% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | Orlando City |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.01% Total : 60.46% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.32% | 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 18.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |