Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen2 - 1Valenciennes
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Valenciennes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rodez AF 3-2 Caen
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 2-2 Bastia
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
Result | ||
Caen | Draw | Valenciennes |
57.02% ( 0.93) | 25.77% ( -0.25) | 17.2% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 39.69% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.68% ( -0.03) | 61.31% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.77% ( -0.02) | 81.23% ( 0.02) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.31% ( 0.37) | 21.68% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.17% ( 0.57) | 54.82% ( -0.57) |
Valenciennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.68% ( -0.89) | 49.31% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.82% ( -0.64) | 84.17% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Caen 57.02%
Valenciennes 17.2%
Draw 25.76%
Caen | Draw | Valenciennes |
1-0 @ 16.34% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 57.02% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.4% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.92% Total : 17.2% |
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Valenciennes
1-1
Caen
Ntim (24')
Cuffaut (42'), Kaba (43'), Yatabare (59'), Masson (89')
Cuffaut (42'), Kaba (43'), Yatabare (59'), Masson (89')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Sep 26, 2020 6pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-14 22:31:15
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auxerre | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 71 |
2 | Angers | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 67 |
3 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 65 |
4 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 58 |
5 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 60 | 51 | 9 | 57 |
6 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 55 |
7 | Laval | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 52 |
8 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 51 |
9 | PauPau | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 51 |
10 | Grenoble | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 51 |
11 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Bastia | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 49 |
13 | Bordeaux | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 47 |
14 | Ajaccio | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 46 |
15 | Annecy | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 45 |
16 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 45 |
17 | Troyes | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 40 |
18 | Concarneau | 37 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 38 |
19 | Quevilly | 37 | 6 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 35 |
20 | Valenciennes | 36 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 26 |
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