Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
68.18% ( -0) | 18.63% ( 0) | 13.2% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.23% ( 0.01) | 40.77% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.84% ( 0) | 63.16% ( -0) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.05% | 10.95% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.83% ( 0) | 35.17% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.6% ( 0.01) | 42.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.21% ( 0.01) | 78.78% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 11.35% 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 8.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.63% 4-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 4.05% Total : 68.16% | 1-1 @ 8.81% 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.63% | 0-1 @ 3.98% 1-2 @ 3.78% 0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 13.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |