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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Stoke City |
45.76% | 25.48% | 28.76% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.86% | 50.15% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.89% | 72.11% ( -0) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% | 21.9% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.84% | 55.17% ( -0) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.32% ( -0) | 31.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.91% ( -0) | 68.09% |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.75% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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