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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Southampton logo

Brighton
3 - 1
Southampton

Ferguson (29', 40'), Gross (69')
Veltman (71'), Buonanotte (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Elyounoussi (58')
Bednarek (14'), Alcaraz (34'), Elyounoussi (43'), Ward-Prowse (64'), Bree (67')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for Europe next season courtesy of a 3-1 Premier League win over Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Brighton
Thursday, May 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
71.85% (-0.197 -0.2) 17.43% (0.168 0.17) 10.72% (0.028 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.32% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (-0.705 -0.7)41.79% (0.704 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (-0.714 -0.71)64.2% (0.71299999999999 0.71)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.71% (-0.236 -0.24)10.29% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.3% (-0.539 -0.54)33.69% (0.538 0.54)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (-0.413 -0.41)47.25% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.32% (-0.314 -0.31)82.68% (0.312 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 71.84%
    Southampton 10.72%
    Draw 17.43%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 12.57% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.24 0.24)
3-0 @ 9.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.46% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 71.84%
1-1 @ 8.29% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.86% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.43%
0-1 @ 3.65% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 10.72%

How you voted: Brighton vs Southampton

Brighton & Hove Albion
85.9%
Draw
9.9%
Southampton
4.2%
71
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 17
Southampton
1-3
Brighton
Ward-Prowse (73')
Aribo (60')
Lallana (14'), Perraud (35' og.), March (56')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
gameweek 34
Brighton
2-2
Southampton
Welbeck (2'), Salisu (44' og.)
Cucurella (45+3')
Ward-Prowse (45+4', 54')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')
Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')
Mar 14, 2021 12pm
gameweek 28
Southampton
1-2
Brighton
Adams (27')
Dunk (16'), Trossard (56')
Dec 7, 2020 8pm
gameweek 11
Brighton
1-2
Southampton
Gross (26' pen.)
Dunk (56'), Gross (80'), Bissouma (89')
Vestergaard (45'), Ings (81' pen.)
Djenepo (13'), Romeu (47'), McCarthy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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