Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas |
32.5% ( -0.92) | 27.49% ( -0.3) | 40.01% ( 1.22) |
Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.28% ( 0.95) | 56.72% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.33% ( 0.76) | 77.67% ( -0.75) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% ( -0.14) | 32.39% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.09% ( -0.16) | 68.91% ( 0.16) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% ( 1.15) | 27.73% ( -1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.69% ( 1.45) | 63.3% ( -1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |