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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Villarreal logo

Sevilla
2 - 1
Villarreal

Mir (34'), En-Nesyri (90+4')
Lamela (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Torres (55')
Foyth (70'), Mandi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Man Utd
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Sevilla 2-2 Villarreal

Sevilla put so much into their contest with Man United that it is only natural to expect a drop-off in terms of their performance in this match. Villarreal will be confident of picking up a positive result on Sunday, and we are backing the points to be shared in an entertaining contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawVillarreal
39.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.83% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 35.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.13% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.82% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.41% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 39.74%
    Villarreal 35.43%
    Draw 24.82%
SevillaDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.74%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.43%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Villarreal

Sevilla
53.1%
Draw
27.6%
Villarreal
19.4%
98
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 6
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Baena (51')
Torres (8')
Bono (26')
May 8, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 35
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Lo Celso (86')
Chukwueze (4'), Lo Celso (45'), Capoue (73')
Kounde (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 1pm
gameweek 16
Sevilla
1-0
Villarreal
Ocampos (16')
Rakitic (45+3'), Mir (57')

Albiol (61'), Dia (90+2')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 37
Villarreal
4-0
Sevilla
Bacca (34', 47', 79'), Moreno (66')

Carlos (29'), Acuna (51')
Carlos (52')
Dec 29, 2020 4pm
gameweek 16
Sevilla
2-0
Villarreal
Ocampos (8' pen.), En-Nesyri (53')
Fernando (39')

Foyth (7'), Trigueros (76'), Parejo (88'), Bacca (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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