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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Cadiz logo

Rayo Vallecano
5 - 1
Cadiz

Isi (44' pen.), Garcia (45+1'), Lejeune (63', 89'), Camello (79')
Trejo (31')
Nteka (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Balliu (82' og.)
Sobrino (37'), Alcaraz (52'), Perez (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Betis
Wednesday, October 19 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Cadiz

This has all the makings of a very interesting match, and we are expecting it to be a close affair. Cadiz are not losing games at the moment, but Rayo will have been boosted by their excellent result against Atletico, and we are backing the home team to run out 2-1 winners here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawCadiz
51.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 27.05% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 21.26% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 42.19% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.76% (-0.213 -0.21)61.24% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.83% (-0.16 -0.16)81.17% (0.158 0.16)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)23.95% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.82% (-0.102 -0.1)58.18% (0.1 0.1)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.48% (-0.223 -0.22)44.52% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.45% (-0.183 -0.18)80.55% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 51.68%
    Cadiz 21.26%
    Draw 27.05%
Rayo VallecanoDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 15.23% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 10.88% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 51.68%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 10.66% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.26%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Cadiz

Rayo Vallecano
85.9%
Draw
9.4%
Cadiz
4.7%
64
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 1pm
Cadiz
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Alcaraz (55'), Idrissi (63')
Akapo (10'), Alcaraz (37'), Idrissi (45+1'), Alejo (65'), Sobrino (82')

Isi (12'), Garcia (45+2'), Maras (62')
Sep 26, 2021 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
3-1
Cadiz
Garcia (9'), Falcao (44'), Isi (87')
Isi (50'), Balliu (59')
Haroyan (23')
Bastida (45+1'), Haroyan (48'), Cala (56'), Perea (90+3')
Jun 14, 2020 8.30pm
Cadiz
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Gimenez (85')
Mari (39'), Cala (72'), Alex (90+4')
Trejo (52')
Qasmi (39'), Advincula (40'), Villar (90+4')
Montiel (90+2')
Nov 10, 2019 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Cadiz
Trejo (74')
Advincula (57'), Saveljich (78'), Montiel (83'), Trejo (85'), Ulloa (93')
Alejo (38')
Gonzalez (55'), Mauro (63'), Lozano (83')
Apr 1, 2018 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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