Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
24.17% ( 0.08) | 25.53% ( -0.19) | 50.29% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.54% ( 0.77) | 53.46% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.01% ( 0.64) | 74.98% ( -0.65) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.78% ( 0.5) | 37.21% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26% ( 0.49) | 74% ( -0.49) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( 0.36) | 21.28% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.79% ( 0.55) | 54.2% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.17% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 50.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |