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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Granada logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 0
Granada

Strand Larsen (20')
Strand Larsen (22'), Vazquez (29'), Guaita (66'), Dotor (70'), Ristic (75'), Dominguez (84')
Aspas (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gumbau (90+3'), Diedhiou (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Celta Vigo 2-1 Granada

This is a huge match at the bottom of the table, and it will be fascinating to see what develops this weekend. It would have been easy to pick another draw here, but we just have a feeling that Celta will be able to navigate their way to what would be a huge three points in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.

Result
Celta VigoDrawGranada
54.47% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06) 24.85% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 20.68% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.21% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)54.23% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)75.63% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)19.87% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)51.98% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.92% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)41.07% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.62% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 54.46%
    Granada 20.68%
    Draw 24.85%
Celta VigoDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 54.46%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 20.68%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Granada

Celta Vigo
58.6%
Draw
27.6%
Granada
13.8%
29
Head to Head
May 1, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 34
Granada
1-1
Celta Vigo
Milla (90+2')
Molina (90+1')
Puertas (72' og.)
Galan (30'), Beltran (48'), Dituro (53')
Sep 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Celta Vigo
1-0
Granada
Suarez (90+4')
Mendez (12'), Aspas (90+6')

Puertas (67'), Duarte (69'), Moreno (72'), Montoro (85'), Quini (90+6'), Neva (90+6'), Escandell (90+8'), Molina (90+9')
Jan 31, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Granada
0-0
Celta Vigo
Herrera (12'), Foulquier (44')
Mendez (24'), Nolito (39'), Aspas (69'), Mina (90+2')
Nov 29, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Celta Vigo
3-1
Granada
Nolito (27'), Baeza (81'), Beltran (85')
Murillo (21'), Tapia (45+1'), Olaza (90+2'), Mallo (90+6')
Yokuslu (90+8')
Suarez Charris (25')
Foulquier (53'), Martinez (73'), Puertas (90+2'), Soldado (90+5')
Feb 29, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 26
Granada
0-0
Celta Vigo
Vico (42'), Herrera (54'), Soldado (79')
Araujo (23'), Sisto (52'), Aspas (60'), Mallo (73'), Alvarez (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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