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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Granada logo
Valencia
1 - 0
Granada
Pepelu (45+7' pen.)
Guerra (51'), Paulista (58'), Lopez (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gumbau (12'), Sanchez (40'), Torrente (45+6'), Villar (78'), Zaragoza (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: UD Logrones 0-2 Valencia
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Arosa 0-3 Granada
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Valencia 2-1 Granada

Granada have not had too many problems finding the back of the net this season, scoring 17 times, with only six sides scoring more in La Liga in 2023-24. Lopez's side are conceding at an alarming rate, though, and we are expecting an in-form Valencia to shade this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
ValenciaDrawGranada
48.61% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.65% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.74% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.8% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83% (0.141 0.14)57.17% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (0.113 0.11)78.03% (-0.114 -0.11)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.075000000000003 0.08)23.58% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (0.107 0.11)57.65% (-0.108 -0.11)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (0.086999999999996 0.09)38.76% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5% (0.082000000000001 0.08)75.49% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 48.6%
    Granada 24.74%
    Draw 26.65%
ValenciaDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 48.6%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 24.74%

How you voted: Valencia vs Granada

Valencia
80.4%
Draw
10.9%
Granada
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Valencia
3-1
Granada
Guedes (48'), Gomez (51'), Soler (62' pen.)
Comert (27'), Musah (34'), Maranhao (69')
Domenech (56' og.)
Diaz (63'), Rochina (79'), Quini (88')
Aug 21, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Granada
1-1
Valencia
Suarez Charris (16')
Monchu (45'), Duarte (45+3'), Sanchez (49'), Gonalons (90')
Soler (88' pen.)
Alderete (65'), Correia (81')
Mar 21, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Valencia
2-1
Granada
Wass (4'), Blanco (66')
Soldado (90')
Sanchez (33'), Quini (67'), Montoro (90+5')
Dec 30, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 16
Granada
2-1
Valencia
Kenedy (45+3'), Molina (88')
Foulquier (16'), Herrera (40'), Puertas (72'), Gonalons (90+6')
Duarte (76')
Gameiro (36')
Jason (9'), Wass (33'), Mangala (48')
Jason (70'), Guedes (73')
Jul 4, 2020 9pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GironaGirona20154146242249
2Real Madrid19153140112948
3Athletic Bilbao20125338201841
4Barcelona19125236221441
5Atletico MadridAtletico19122539231638
6Real Sociedad2088431211032
7Real BetisBetis2071032220231
8Valencia208572624229
9Las PalmasLas Palmas208481917228
10Getafe196852425-126
11Rayo Vallecano195861824-623
12Osasuna196492229-722
13AlavesAlaves2055101827-920
14Mallorca2031071824-619
15Villarreal2054112741-1419
16Celta Vigo203892130-917
17Sevilla2037102530-516
18CadizCadiz202991530-1515
19Granada2025132241-1911
20Almeria2006141943-246

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