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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Cadiz
0 - 4
Athletic Bilbao


Espino (16'), Alejo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (24'), Guruzeta (56', 90+3'), Berenguer (78')
Lekue (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, August 20 at 4.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 0-1 Athletic Bilbao

With both teams having struggled to score goals during the opening two matches, we cannot see this being the most entertaining of matches. Nevertheless, Athletic have enough quality to take control, potentially scoring a first-half strike and holding firm after the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
31.12% (1.279 1.28) 29% (-0.632 -0.63) 39.88% (-0.646 -0.65)
Both teams to score 44.2% (2.061 2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.66% (2.316 2.32)62.33% (-2.317 -2.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.01% (1.664 1.66)81.98% (-1.664 -1.66)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (2.266 2.27)36.36% (-2.266 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85% (2.223 2.22)73.14% (-2.224 -2.22)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (0.79299999999999 0.79)30.54% (-0.794 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (0.92899999999999 0.93)66.77% (-0.929 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 31.11%
    Athletic Bilbao 39.87%
    Draw 28.99%
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.386 0.39)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.258 0.26)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.18 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 31.11%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.1% (-1 -1)
2-2 @ 4% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 13.17% (-0.87 -0.87)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.126 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.154 0.15)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.056 0.06)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 39.87%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz
9.4%
Draw
18.8%
Athletic Bilbao
71.9%
32
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2022 7pm
Cadiz
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (56'), Sobrino (87')
Lozano (9'), Chust (21'), Cala (63')
Garcia (3'), Muniain (22'), Vesga (33')
Martinez (50'), Vesga (63'), Vivian (69'), Vencedor (90+6')
Vesga (71')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Cala (33'), Fali (47'), Saponjic (90+1')
Berenguer (4', 29'), Lopez (15'), Williams (52')
Nunez (19'), Vesga (70')
Oct 1, 2020 6pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Cadiz

Villalibre (54'), Kodro (79'), Martinez (83')
Lopez (57' og.)
Akapo (18'), Fali (41'), Negredo (63')
Akapo (48'), Negredo (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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