Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
30.47% | 28.15% | 41.38% |
Both teams to score 46.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.36% | 59.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.04% | 79.96% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% | 35.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.85% | 72.15% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% | 28.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% | 64.11% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.46% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 12.64% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |