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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Real Betis logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 2
Betis

Vesga (30' pen., 45' pen.), Guruzeta (45+7'), Gomez Etxebarria (84')
Paredes (59'), Ruiz de Galarreta (61'), Vesga (79'), Berenguer (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Jose (2'), Isco (10')
Rodriguez (44'), Vinicius (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 0-0 Atletico
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis

Athletic will be missing some important players this weekend, but the same can also be said for Real Betis. We were close to backing an away win, and it would not be a surprise to see the visitors triumph here, but Athletic are good enough to claim a share of the spoils in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
47.17% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 26.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 26.41% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.76% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)55.24% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.53% (-0.026 -0.03)76.47% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)23.42% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)57.41% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.24% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (0.021999999999998 0.02)73.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 47.16%
    Real Betis 26.41%
    Draw 26.42%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.61% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.41%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis

Athletic Bilbao
36.8%
Draw
22.8%
Real Betis
40.4%
57
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 9pm
Dec 29, 2022 6.15pm
Mar 13, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Betis
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Iglesias (20')
Pezzella (25'), Miranda (28'), Ruibal (76'), Canales (80')
Fekir (80')

Berchiche (8'), Berenguer (16'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (80'), Sancet (80')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Betis
Williams (2', 72'), De Marcos (89')
Zarraga (58')
Juanmi (6'), Fekir (52')
Fekir (49'), Rodriguez (58'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Apr 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Betis
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Rodriguez (55'), Guardado (82'), Bravo (88')
Fekir (11')
de Marcos (43'), Nunez (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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