MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 13:39:52| >> :60:175:175:
Saint Lucia national football team
International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 10pm UK
Beausejour Stadium
San Marino national football team

St Lucia
1 - 1
San Marino

Jn Baptiste (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lazzari (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Saint Lucia and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Lucia

Last Game: St Lucia 2-0 Anguilla
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

San Marino

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: San Marino 0-4 Estonia
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Saint Lucia 0-0 San Marino

 San Marino are often well organised defensively but find goals extremely hard to come by, so we can envisage them avoiding defeat for only the 10th time in their history. St Lucia may be rusty having only played two fixtures in the last three years, so they could settle for a draw ahead of targeting a win against the same opponents on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Saint LuciaDrawSan Marino
56.38% (-0.258 -0.26) 22.77% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 20.85% (0.205 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.159 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.056000000000004 0.06)45.66% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.052999999999997 0.05)67.98% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Saint Lucia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)15.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.68% (-0.126 -0.13)45.31% (0.12 0.12)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (0.237 0.24)36% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (0.243 0.24)72.78% (-0.24900000000001 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Saint Lucia 56.37%
    San Marino 20.85%
    Draw 22.77%
Saint LuciaDrawSan Marino
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 56.37%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.77%
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 20.85%

How you voted: St Lucia vs San Marino

Saint Lucia
54.8%
Draw
27.4%
San Marino
17.8%
73
rhs 2.0
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