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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Estonia national football team
Nations League | League D
Jun 2, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
San Marino national football team

Estonia
2 - 0
San Marino

Kirss (24'), Tamm (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Golinucci (60'), Mularoni (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Estonia and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

Last Six:
Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Albania vs. Estonia
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

San Marino

Last Six:
Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Malta vs. San Marino
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Estonia 3-0 San Marino

 Estonia come into the new Nations League campaign in a disappointing run of form, but they still have more than enough to comfortably beat the European minnows who often ship goals and struggle at the other end of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest San Marino win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.

Result
EstoniaDrawSan Marino
49.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.08% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)46.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.68% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)68.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)18.48% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)49.68% (0.0049999999999955 0)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36%31.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)68.04% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Estonia 49.94%
    San Marino 25.98%
    Draw 24.07%
EstoniaDrawSan Marino
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 25.98%

How you voted: Estonia vs San Marino

Estonia
78.8%
Draw
7.7%
San Marino
13.5%
52
Head to Head
Jun 14, 2015 5pm
Group E
Estonia
2-0
San Marino
Zenjov (35', 63')

Battistini (58')
> Match Report
Nov 15, 2014 5pm
Group E
San Marino
0-0
Estonia

Simoncini (11'), Palazzi (57')

Dmitrijev (1'), Morozov (69'), Mets (93')
> Match Report
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