MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 09:54:26| >> :60:871:871:
Kenya national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 14, 2023 at 12pm UK
Punjab Stadium
Pakistan national football team

Kenya
1 - 0
Pakistan

Shummah (18')
Odada (48'), Omune (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sufyan Asif (14'), Nabi (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Kenya and Pakistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Iran 2-1 Kenya
Tuesday, March 28 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritius 3-0 Pakistan
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Kenya 2-1 Pakistan

While Kenya have not been in action since March, they will fancy their chances against a Pakistan side who have lost their last seven matches. We predict that Kenya will claim a narrow victory and leave Anwar's side empty handed once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.78%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kenya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kenya.

Result
KenyaDrawPakistan
51.67% (0.090999999999994 0.09) 28.35% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 19.98% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 37.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.87% (0.064999999999998 0.06)66.12% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.33% (0.045 0.04)84.67% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (0.072999999999993 0.07)26.18% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (0.097999999999999 0.1)61.26% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Pakistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.16% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)48.83% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.16% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)83.84% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kenya 51.66%
    Pakistan 19.98%
    Draw 28.34%
KenyaDrawPakistan
1-0 @ 17.13%
2-0 @ 11.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 51.66%
0-0 @ 12.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 19.98%

How you voted: Kenya vs Pakistan

Kenya
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Pakistan
0.0%
10
rhs 2.0
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