MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 23:48:01| >> :120:21668:21668:
Republic of Ireland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Greece national football team

Rep. Ireland
0 - 2
Greece


Smallbone (10')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Giakoumakis (20'), Masouras (45+4')
Pelkas (56'), Bouchalakis (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Republic of Ireland and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-2 Netherlands
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 5-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Republic of Ireland 1-1 Greece

A draw will not be sufficient to keep Ireland's top-two hopes alive if the Netherlands can put France to the sword, and the Ferguson-led Boys in Green ought to go for broke on a ground where they traditionally have few problems finding the back of the net. Greece's dissatisfactory run on the road also serves as a reason for Irish optimism, but Poyet's resilient side are not to be taken lightly and can hold Kenny's men to a point, which may or may not condemn them to their fate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Greece had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawGreece
44.5% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 25.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 29.53% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.28% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (0.039999999999999 0.04)51.76% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (0.035 0.04)73.53% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)23.17% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.94% (-0.012 -0.01)57.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (0.061000000000007 0.06)31.95% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (0.070999999999998 0.07)68.4% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 44.49%
    Greece 29.53%
    Draw 25.97%
Republic of IrelandDrawGreece
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.53%

How you voted: Rep. Ireland vs Greece

Republic of Ireland
28.8%
Draw
29.7%
Greece
41.5%
118
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Greece
2-1
Rep. Ireland
Bakasetas (15' pen.), Masouras (49')
Mantalos (35'), Pelkas (65'), Bakasetas (76'), Tzavellas (90+5')
Collins (27')
McClean (76'), Egan (88')
Doherty (90+5')
Nov 14, 2012 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Rep. Ireland
0-1
Greece
rhs 2.0
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