Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
We said: Greece 2-1 Republic of Ireland
Stephen Kenny has urged his Republic of Ireland side to claim a 'historic away victory' on Friday, but coming out on top against a Greece side who boast an impressive home record could prove challenging.
A tight affair could be on the cards in Athens, but we believe that the hosts will do enough to claim maximum points and maintain their prefect start in Group B.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Greece in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Greece.
| Result |
| Greece | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
58.71% ( -1.6) | 24.94% ( 0.26) | 16.35% ( 1.34) |
| Both teams to score 40.22% ( 1.86) |
