Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Stadium
We said: Gibraltar 0-2 Republic of Ireland
With the added disadvantage of not playing at their regular headquarters, a sixth defeat from six is surely on the cards for Gibraltar, whose unsightly goalless streak is also set to continue at the Estadio Algarve.
Confidence is hardly high in the Irish camp either, and calls for Kenny to be given the boot will only grow louder if Gibraltar can pull off a sensational giant killing, but the Boys in Green should get the job done with minimal fuss.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 81.43%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 5.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.4%) and 0-1 (13.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.
| Result |
| Gibraltar | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
5.1% ( 0.14) | 13.46% ( 0.08) | 81.43% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 33.59% ( 0.63) |
