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Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 5pm UK
LFF Stadium
Ludogorets

Zalgiris
3 - 3
Ludogorets

Ourega (1'), Buff (16'), Oliveira (63')
Ourega (11'), Kyeremeh (89'), Pavelic (90+2'), Ljubisavljevic (97'), Kuklys (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Tissera (8', 57'), Verdon (120' pen.)
Tissera (1'), Cicinho (11'), Tekpetey (31'), Piotrowski (40'), Nedyalkov (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FK Zalgiris and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ludogorets 1-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 18 at 6.45pm in Europa League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 18 at 6.45pm in Europa League
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We say: FK Zalgiris 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad (Ludogorets Razgrad to win 2-1 on aggregate)

In what is set to be an all-or-nothing affair, we expect an absorbing contest with both teams going at each other over the course of the 90 minutes. However, we are tipping a share of the spoils here with the away side going through on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%).

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawLudogorets Razgrad
47.04% (-0.342 -0.34) 25.82% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 27.13% (0.349 0.35)
Both teams to score 51.16% (0.27399999999999 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (0.23 0.23)52.48% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (0.198 0.2)74.15% (-0.193 -0.19)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)22.3% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)55.76% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (0.404 0.4)34.16% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (0.43 0.43)70.85% (-0.426 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 47.04%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 27.13%
    Draw 25.82%
FK ZalgirisDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 11.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.04%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs Ludogorets

FK Zalgiris
44.0%
Draw
21.4%
Ludogorets Razgrad
34.5%
84
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 6.45pm
Ludogorets
1-0
Zalgiris
Tatomirovic (2' og.)
Nedyalkov (45+1'), Yordanov (82'), Despodov (86'), Tissera (87')

Buff (36'), Mikoliunas (42'), Kazlauskas (78')
Kazlauskas (90+4')
Jul 19, 2017 7pm
Ludogorets
4-1
Zalgiris
Natanael (41'), Wanderson (55'), Keseru (56', 74')
Moti (45'), Natanael (70'), Keseru (75'), Dyakov (76')
Nyuiadzi (15')
Vaitkunas (9'), Blagojevic (56'), Slijngard (61')
Jul 12, 2017 7pm
Zalgiris
2-1
Ludogorets
Nyuiadzi (78'), Kuklys (86')
Blagojevic (9'), Ljujic (62'), Sernas (65'), Atajic (91')
Sernas (94')
Abel (18')
Campanharo (29'), Sasha (88')
rhs 2.0
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