Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Bakcell Arena
Neftchi Baku3 - 0Aris
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Aris Thessaloniki.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aris 2-0 Neftchi Baku
Thursday, July 21 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 21 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gomel 1-2 Aris
Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Wednesday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AEK Athens | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Aris Thessaloniki | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Asteras Tripolis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neftchi Baku would win this match.
Result | ||
Neftchi Baku | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
36.82% ( 0.27) | 27.44% ( 0.01) | 35.74% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 49.51% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.87% ( -0.04) | 56.12% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.81% ( -0.03) | 77.19% ( 0.03) |
Neftchi Baku Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.69% ( 0.15) | 29.3% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.73% ( 0.18) | 65.27% ( -0.19) |
Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.03% ( -0.2) | 29.97% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% ( -0.24) | 66.08% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Neftchi Baku 36.82%
Aris Thessaloniki 35.73%
Draw 27.43%
Neftchi Baku | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.73% |
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 6.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-17 17:22:06
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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