MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 07:31:09| >> :600:402413:402413:
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2021 at 6pm UK
Bakcell Arena
HJK logo

Neftchi Baku
2 - 2
HJK Helsinki

Bougrine (59'), Mahmudov (80')
Nacafov (20'), Harramiz (62'), Muradbayli (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Riski (61'), Jair (65')
Carlos Murillo (50'), Peltola (80'), Tenho (83'), Riski (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Europa League clash between Neftchi Baku and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.54%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Neftchi BakuDrawHJK Helsinki
31.44%22.52%46.03%
Both teams to score 65.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.84%35.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84%57.16%
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.57%22.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.04%55.95%
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19%15.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03%44.97%
Score Analysis
    Neftchi Baku 31.44%
    HJK Helsinki 46.03%
    Draw 22.52%
Neftchi BakuDrawHJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 7.31%
1-0 @ 5.3%
2-0 @ 3.96%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 31.44%
1-1 @ 9.78%
2-2 @ 6.74%
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 9.02%
0-1 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 6.03%
1-3 @ 5.55%
2-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 3.71%
1-4 @ 2.56%
2-4 @ 1.91%
0-4 @ 1.71%
3-4 @ 0.95%
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 46.03%

How you voted: Neftchi Baku vs HJK Helsinki

Neftchi Baku
54.8%
Draw
21.9%
HJK Helsinki
23.3%
73
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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