Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Celje3 - 4Guimaraes
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Celje and Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aluminij 2-2 Celje
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Wolves
Sunday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Sunday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Celje had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result | ||
Celje | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.2% ( 0.37) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 46.07% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.29% ( 0.23) | 46.71% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.02% ( 0.22) | 68.97% ( -0.22) |
Celje Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.41% ( 0.38) | 29.59% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.37% ( 0.46) | 65.62% ( -0.46) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.65% ( -0.06) | 20.35% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.25% ( -0.1) | 52.75% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Celje 29.2%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.07%
Draw 24.73%
Celje | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 46.07% |
How you voted: Celje vs Guimaraes
Celje
16.7%Draw
0.0%Vitoria de Guimaraes
83.3%6
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-14 11:56:58
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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