Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Basel1 - 3Tobol
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Basel and Tobol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Gallen 2-1 Basel
Saturday, July 22 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, July 22 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Honka 0-0 Tobol
Thursday, July 20 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 20 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
1 | Lugano | 3 | 3.00 | Celar |
2 | Servette | 3 | 3.00 | Bedia |
3 | FC Zurich | 2 | 2.00 | Katic |
4 | St Gallen | 2 | 2.00 | Geubbels |
5 | Young Boys | 2 | 2.00 | Itten |
6 | Basel | 1 | 1.00 | Frei |
7 | Grasshopper | 1 | 1.00 | Ndenge |
8 | Lausanne | 1 | 1.00 | Balde |
9 | Winterthur | 0 | 0.00 | |
10 | Luzern | 0 | 0.00 | |
11 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 0 | 0.00 | |
12 | Yverdon Sport | 0 | 0.00 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 23.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Basel | Draw | Tobol |
54.1% ( -0.11) | 22.52% ( 0.04) | 23.38% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 58.13% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.48% ( -0.11) | 41.51% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.08% ( -0.11) | 63.91% ( 0.11) |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.68% ( -0.08) | 15.32% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.94% ( -0.14) | 44.06% ( 0.14) |
Tobol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.65% ( -0) | 31.35% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( 0) | 67.71% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Basel 54.1%
Tobol 23.38%
Draw 22.52%
Basel | Draw | Tobol |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 54.1% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 23.38% |
How you voted: Basel vs Tobol
Basel
76.9%Draw
23.1%Tobol
0.0%13
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-13 18:57:06
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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