Despite being knocked out of the Europa Conference League, Vitesse earned a draw with Roma on Thursday and were only undone by a late equaliser, showing that they have the quality to beat top opposition, it just was not to be on that day.
Vitesse are in better form than Waalwijk and in a superior position in the table, which suggests that the hosts are favourites for three points this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
