MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 22:33:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Ajax

Sparta
0 - 1
Ajax


de Guzman (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bergwijn (37')
Alvarez (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 6-1 Groningen
Sunday, August 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 Ajax

Ajax's dominance in this fixture means that it is hard to envisage any other result than a victory for them. We are backing the defending champions to cruise to all three points in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.04%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
9.02% (0.083 0.08) 15.07% (0.157 0.16) 75.91% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Both teams to score 49.22% (-0.261 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.22% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)35.78% (0.511 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.15% (-0.564 -0.56)57.85% (0.567 0.57)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.42% (-0.186 -0.19)46.58% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.83% (-0.143 -0.14)82.17% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.14% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)7.85% (0.1689 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.17% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)27.83% (0.43 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 9.02%
    Ajax 75.9%
    Draw 15.07%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
1-0 @ 2.8% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 2.72% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 9.02%
1-1 @ 7.11% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.66% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 15.07%
0-2 @ 11.83% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-4 @ 6.39% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 4.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-5 @ 3.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 75.9%

How you voted: Sparta vs Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam
8.3%
Draw
5.6%
Ajax
86.1%
36
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 7pm
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Klaassen (49'), Tadic (62' pen.)
De Kamps (33')
de Kamps (50'), Auassar (61'), Engels (64')
Nov 28, 2021 11.15am
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Engels (90+5'), Smeets (90+5')
Tadic (36')
Neres (90+4'), Maduro (90+5')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Ajax
4-2
Sparta
Haller (14', 37'), Schuurs (45+4'), Kudus (50')
Gravenberch (53', 90+1')
Heylen (55')
Sep 13, 2020 1.30pm
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Heylen (54'), Pinto (57')
Antony (37')
Gravenberch (17'), Blind (28'), Onana (86')
Tagliafico (27')
Jan 19, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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