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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | FC Utrecht | 3 | -1 | 2 |
13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | -1 | 1 |
14 | FC Volendam | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 2 | 6 | 6 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 6 | 6 |
3 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 9.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.04%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
9.02% ( 0.08) | 15.07% ( 0.16) | 75.91% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 49.22% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.22% ( -0.51) | 35.78% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.15% ( -0.56) | 57.85% ( 0.57) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.42% ( -0.19) | 46.58% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.83% ( -0.14) | 82.17% ( 0.15) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.14% ( -0.16) | 7.85% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.17% ( -0.43) | 27.83% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Ajax |
1-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 9.02% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 15.07% | 0-2 @ 11.83% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 7.67% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 4.88% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 1-6 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 75.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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