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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
49.99% ( 0.12) | 24.25% ( -0.01) | 25.76% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.04% ( -0.05) | 46.96% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.79% ( -0.04) | 69.21% ( 0.04) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.17% ( 0.03) | 18.83% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.74% ( 0.05) | 50.26% ( -0.05) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.68% ( -0.11) | 32.32% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.18% ( -0.12) | 68.82% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.23% Total : 49.99% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 25.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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