MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 21:26:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Heerenveen

Utrecht
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Douvikas (69' pen.)
Toornstra (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bochniewicz (66'), van Ottele (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 5-5 Utrecht
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Vitesse
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 Heerenveen

Judging by the league table, there is very little separating Saturday's opponents, and the clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to narrowly pip their visitors to all three points come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawHeerenveen
49.99% (0.116 0.12) 24.25% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.76% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)46.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.041 -0.04)69.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)18.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.74% (0.046999999999997 0.05)50.26% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.111 -0.11)32.32% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (-0.124 -0.12)68.82% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 49.99%
    Heerenveen 25.76%
    Draw 24.25%
FC UtrechtDrawHeerenveen
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 49.99%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Heerenveen

FC Utrecht
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
Heerenveen
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3.30pm
Feb 27, 2022 7pm
Oct 23, 2021 5.45pm
May 8, 2021 5.45pm
Oct 2, 2020 7pm
Utrecht
1-1
Heerenveen
Kerk (44')
van de Streek (48')
Veerman (4')
Smit (77')
Smit (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!