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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Stevenage

Reading
1 - 2
Stevenage

Ehibhaimha (63')
Abretti (42'), Ehibhaimha (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Earley (10'), Rose (89')
Earley (38'), Campbell (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Reading and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 2-1 Cardiff
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 2-1 Stevenage

Playing in front of their fans, Reading will be expected to seize the initiative and take the fight to Stevenage. We are tipping the home side to emerge triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawStevenage
28.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 45.33% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)51.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.49% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)56.04% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 28.94%
    Stevenage 45.33%
    Draw 25.72%
ReadingDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.94%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.2%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 10.74%
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.33%

How you voted: Reading vs Stevenage

Reading
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
Stevenage
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2018 8pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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