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EFL Cup
Bournemouth logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Everton logo

Bournemouth
4 - 1
Everton

Lowe (7'), Stanislas (47'), Marcondes (78'), Anthony (82')
Anthony (73'), Pearson (84'), Stephens (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gray (67')
Gordon (44'), Mina (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bournemouth and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 4-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Everton

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton (Everton to win on penalties)

 Neither Bournemouth nor Everton have truly covered themselves in glory in recent weeks, and a plethora of changes can be expected as both sides prioritise their league fortunes. Calvert-Lewin's injury will not help the Toffees on the attacking front either, and it would not be a surprise to see this third-round tie go all the way to penalties, where the visitors' recent successes from 12 yards should help them to a fourth-round appearance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawEverton
41.74% (0.026999999999994 0.03) 25.72% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 32.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.42% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.4% (0.014000000000003 0.01)49.61% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.63% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)23.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (0.027999999999999 0.03)57.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)28.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)64.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 41.74%
    Everton 32.54%
    Draw 25.72%
BournemouthDrawEverton
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.54%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Everton

Bournemouth
41.4%
Draw
21.9%
Everton
36.7%
128
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2020 4pm
Everton
1-3
Bournemouth
Kean (41')
Keane (79')
King (13' pen.), Solanke (45+1'), Stanislas (80')
> Match Report
Sep 15, 2019 2pm
Bournemouth
3-1
Everton
> Match Report
Jan 13, 2019 2.15pm
Everton
2-0
Bournemouth
Zouma (61'), Calvert-Lewin (90')
Bernard (38'), Keane (65'), Gomes (66'), Zouma (66'), Richarlison (84')
> Match Report
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Everton
King (75' pen.), Ake (79')
Smith (62')
Walcott (56'), Keane (66')
Sigurdsson (55'), Tosun (70'), Gueye (81')
de Andrade (41')
> Match Report
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Bournemouth
2-1
Everton
Fraser (33', 89')
Gueye (57')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616
> Premier League Full Table


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