MX23RW : Tuesday, May 7 15:31:19| >> :600:3093469:3093469:
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Hermann-Neuberger-Stadion
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Saarbrucken
2 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Naifi (11'), Brunker (90+3')
Sontheimer (31'), Naifi (53'), Brunker (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hack (8')
Elvedi (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Saarbrucken and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, December 6 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
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We said: Saarbrucken 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Gladbach have been bad travelers this season and we think this could be their undoing on Tuesday. Saarbrucken have gained immense confidence from the last two rounds and have been in this position as recently as 2020. We think that the home side will continue their fairytale run in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saarbrucken win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saarbrucken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.29%) and 3-1 (4.81%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Saarbrucken in this match.

Result
SaarbruckenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
39.48% (0.062999999999995 0.06) 22.24% (-0.055 -0.05) 38.28% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.41% (0.22800000000001 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.11% (0.294 0.29)31.89% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.56% (0.341 0.34)53.43% (-0.341 -0.34)
Saarbrucken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (0.152 0.15)17.03% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (0.268 0.27)47.18% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (0.125 0.13)17.54% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92% (0.21599999999999 0.22)48.07% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Saarbrucken 39.48%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 38.28%
    Draw 22.24%
SaarbruckenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.29% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.18% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 39.48%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 7.09% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.43% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.11% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 38.28%

How you voted: Saarbrucken vs Borussia M'bach

Saarbrucken
33.5%
Draw
11.2%
Borussia Monchengladbach
55.3%
161
rhs 2.0
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