MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 13:32:57| >> :600:3259168:3259168:
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Wolfsburg

Borussia M'bach
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Kone (120')
FT
(aet)

Arnold (31'), Gerhardt (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: Borussia Monchengladbach X-Y Wolfsburg

Gladbach have already beaten Wolfsburg at Borussia-Park this month, and we think that the hosts will make full use of home advantage again to edge out die Wolfe and secure their place in the last 16 of the Pokal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
44.77% (0.815 0.81) 22.34% (-0.191 -0.19) 32.88% (-0.627 -0.63)
Both teams to score 66.72% (0.476 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.4% (0.72199999999999 0.72)33.59% (-0.726 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (0.82 0.82)55.4% (-0.823 -0.82)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (0.586 0.59)15.67% (-0.589 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3% (1.08 1.08)44.7% (-1.083 -1.08)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)20.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02)53.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 44.77%
    Wolfsburg 32.88%
    Draw 22.34%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.124 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.26% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.068 0.07)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 44.77%
1-1 @ 9.5% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.27% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 2.22% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.12% (-0.194 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 32.88%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Wolfsburg

Borussia Monchengladbach
73.1%
Draw
16.3%
Wolfsburg
10.6%
104
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Borussia M'bach
4-0
Wolfsburg
Cvancara (16'), Reitz (42'), Honorat (64'), Plea (71')
Elvedi (29')

Arnold (33'), Vranckx (69'), Cozza (83')
Apr 9, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsburg
2-2
Borussia M'bach
Gerhardt (43'), Marmoush (69')
Thuram (13', 48')
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Borussia M'bach
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thuram (42'), Embolo (82')
Sommer (34'), Beyer (65')
Wind (6'), Bornauw (33')
Philipp (37'), Baku (37'), Casteels (76'), Gerhardt (90+3')
Lacroix (70')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Wolfsburg
1-3
Borussia M'bach
Waldschmidt (25')
Bornauw (4'), Baku (10'), Mbabu (59'), Lacroix (67'), Weghorst (81'), Roussillon (90+3')
Lacroix (76')
Embolo (5'), Hofmann (7'), Scally (90+5')
Stindl (35'), Zakaria (36'), Beyer (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!