MX23RW : Monday, May 13 22:45:46| >> :60:232:232:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 29, 2022 at 5.01pm UK
 
Nuremberg logo

Kaan-Marienborn
0 - 2
Nuremberg


Tomas (16'), Kyere (48'), Schauerte (76'), Pjetrovic (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Geis (45'), Valentini (84')
Daehli (26'), Castrop (50')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Kaan-Marienborn and Nuremberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 67.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Kaan-Marienborn had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-3 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Kaan-Marienborn win it was 2-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.

Result
Kaan-MarienbornDrawNuremberg
14.94% (-0.548 -0.55) 17.41% (-0.153 -0.15) 67.65% (0.705 0.7)
Both teams to score 61.04% (-0.855 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.37% (-0.444 -0.44)30.64% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.05% (-0.534 -0.53)51.96% (0.541 0.54)
Kaan-Marienborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (-0.956 -0.96)33.4% (0.963 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-1.067 -1.07)70.03% (1.072 1.07)
Nuremberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)8.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.93% (0.084999999999994 0.08)29.08% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kaan-Marienborn 14.94%
    Nuremberg 67.66%
    Draw 17.41%
Kaan-MarienbornDrawNuremberg
2-1 @ 4.16% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 1.68% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 14.94%
1-1 @ 7.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.79% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 17.41%
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.6% (0.241 0.24)
1-3 @ 7.8% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.12% (0.211 0.21)
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.184 0.18)
1-4 @ 4.84% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-4 @ 4.42% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 4.28% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-4 @ 2.66% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-5 @ 2.41% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 2.19% (0.072 0.07)
2-5 @ 1.32% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-6 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-6 @ 0.91% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 67.66%

How you voted: Kaan-Marienborn vs Nuremberg

Kaan-Marienborn
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Nuremberg
50.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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