DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 12pm UK
Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld
Carl Zeiss0 - 5Hertha Berlin
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Carl Zeiss Jena and Hertha Berlin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 Wiesbaden
Friday, August 4 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Friday, August 4 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Carl Zeiss Jena had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Carl Zeiss Jena win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Carl Zeiss Jena | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
27.55% ( 0.02) | 24.63% ( 0.02) | 47.82% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.26% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% ( -0.09) | 47.25% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.53% ( -0.08) | 69.48% ( 0.08) |
Carl Zeiss Jena Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% ( -0.03) | 31.08% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% ( -0.03) | 67.39% ( 0.03) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.18% ( -0.05) | 19.82% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.1% ( -0.09) | 51.9% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Carl Zeiss Jena 27.55%
Hertha Berlin 47.82%
Draw 24.63%
Carl Zeiss Jena | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.55% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 47.82% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 51 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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