Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
May 2, 2021 at 2pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jacinto Armando
Boca Juniors1 - 0Lanus
Izquierdoz (75')
Almendra (45'), Medina (52'), Capaldo (68'), Belmonte (73'), Soldano (86'), Maroni (89'), Manuel Lopez (90+4')
Almendra (45'), Medina (52'), Capaldo (68'), Belmonte (73'), Soldano (86'), Maroni (89'), Manuel Lopez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Boca Juniors and Lanus.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Lanus |
| 44.47% | 25.5% | 30.03% |
| Both teams to score 54.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
