Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Cristal2 - 1Arsenal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.43%) and 3-1 (5.01%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Cristal | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
41.1% | 22.24% | 36.66% |
Both teams to score 68.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.98% | 32.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.41% | 53.59% |
Sporting Cristal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.56% | 16.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.89% | 46.11% |
Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.69% | 18.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.6% | 49.4% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Cristal 41.1%
Arsenal Sarandi 36.66%
Draw 22.24%
Sporting Cristal | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
2-1 @ 8.33% 1-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.6% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 7.07% 0-0 @ 3.01% 3-3 @ 2.41% Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.04% 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.66% |
How you voted: Cristal vs Arsenal
Sporting Cristal
48.4%Draw
25.8%Arsenal Sarandi
25.8%31
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-18 17:01:15
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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