Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 16, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Bellavista
Macara2 - 2Emelec
Muriel Orlando (26'), Adonis Santacruz Campos (90')
Calderon (16'), Paul Hernandez Porozo (24'), Arlen Portocarrero Rodriguez (30'), Adonis Santacruz Campos (48')
Calderon (16'), Paul Hernandez Porozo (24'), Arlen Portocarrero Rodriguez (30'), Adonis Santacruz Campos (48')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Barcelo (20'), Zapata Alvarez (34')
Zapata Alvarez (18'), Sanchez (45+2'), Josimar Rojas Lopez (73'), Barcelo (81'), Ortiz (84')
Zapata Alvarez (18'), Sanchez (45+2'), Josimar Rojas Lopez (73'), Barcelo (81'), Ortiz (84')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Macara and Emelec.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Macara had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Macara win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macara | Draw | Emelec |
| 35.89% | 26.63% | 37.48% |
| Both teams to score 52.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
