Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 1, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Cristal5 - 1Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Sporting Cristal and Club Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 19.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Cristal would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Cristal | Draw | Club Nacional |
55.56% ( 0.19) | 25.17% ( -0.03) | 19.27% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 44.36% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.05% ( -0.09) | 56.95% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.15% ( -0.07) | 77.85% ( 0.08) |
Sporting Cristal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% ( 0.04) | 20.5% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.01% ( 0.06) | 52.99% ( -0.06) |
Club Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.8% ( -0.24) | 44.2% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.71% ( -0.2) | 80.29% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Cristal 55.55%
Club Nacional 19.27%
Draw 25.17%
Sporting Cristal | Draw | Club Nacional |
1-0 @ 14.36% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.55% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.27% |
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 10pm
Second Round
Nacional
2-0
Cristal
Martinez (46'), Aguilar (90+7')
Fernando Alfaro (29'), Martinez (90+3')
Fernando Alfaro (29'), Martinez (90+3')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-18 06:49:55
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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