Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 22, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Flamengo4 - 1Defensa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 60.38% | 22.73% | 16.89% |
| Both teams to score 47.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
