MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 12:00:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Huddersfield logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leeds logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Rotherham logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Watford logo
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Burnley logo

Watford
1 - 0
Burnley

Cleverley (45+2')
Asprilla (88')
Kamara (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brownhill (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 1-2 Burnley

These two teams have the same number of points, and are also tied when it comes to goals for and goals against, so this should be an even match featuring a pair of sides who were both relegated from the Premier League last season. Burnley look a lot more comfortable under their new system, and we expect the Clarets' energy and aggressiveness will help them past the home side in this one, as Watford seem to be taking a little longer to develop some solid chemistry. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBurnley
40.73%28.67%30.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 44.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.64%61.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74%81.26% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)73%
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.72%
    Burnley 30.59%
    Draw 28.66%
WatfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.04%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 10.87%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.59%

How you voted: Watford vs Burnley

Watford
33.5%
Draw
23.9%
Burnley
42.6%
176
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!