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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Burnley | 1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Cardiff City | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | West Bromwich Albion | 1 | 0 | 1 |
15 | Luton Town | 1 | 0 | 1 |
16 | Preston North End | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Luton Town |
41.59% ( -0.28) | 28.07% ( 0.34) | 30.33% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 46.46% ( -1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.61% ( -1.25) | 59.39% ( 1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.23% ( -0.97) | 79.77% ( 0.97) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.87% ( -0.75) | 28.13% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.19% ( -0.96) | 63.81% ( 0.96) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.64% ( -0.71) | 35.36% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.88% ( -0.75) | 72.12% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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